Wednesday, May 07, 2008
Things that you need to understand if you want to know what's going on in the world: the 'Export Land Model'
I may have put this up before, but the problem with business as usual is that it assumes too many static variables. Imagine you have a milk bottle which you are filling with water - all goes nice and steadily until you hit the bottle neck - if you don't slow down the rate of water going into the bottle then you get sprayed! We are now moving into the bottle neck and we are going to be forced to change our behaviours - the ELM is just one reason why things will get much worse, much more quickly than any of the powers that be expect.